2024 Fantasy Football Rankings: What to Expect from the Philadelphia Eagles!
Key Losses:
RB D’Andre Swift (268 touches in 2023, including 39 catches on 49 targets)
Key Adds:
RB Saquon Barkley
RB Will Shipley
WR Parris Campbell
WR Ainias Smith
📈 Risers:
N/A
📉 Fallers:
N/A
Betting odds as of 5/23/2024:
💰 Over/Under 10.5 Wins (-115 over, -115 under)
💰 -210 odds to make the playoffs
💰 Tied with Cowboys for the best odds of winning the NFC East (+120)
💰 4th best odds to win the NFC (+800)
💰 Tied with the Bengals for the 5th best odds of winning the Super Bowl (+1400)
Fantasy Football:
The Philadelphia Eagles are entering year 4 of the Nick Sirianni era, one that’s been largely successful to this point, winning 67% of their games—including 25 of their last 34 (74%)—and making the playoffs in all 3 seasons (albeit with a 2-3 record when they get there).
From a fantasy football standpoint, the Eagles have been terrific under Sirianni.
Their first season under Sirianni—and franchise QB Jalen Hurts—was fine, finishing 12th in scoring and 14th in offensive yards.
But the Eagles’ offense has really taken flight (get it?) in the last 2 seasons, finishing 3rd & 7th in scoring and 3rd & 8th in offensive yards.
They’ve been especially dominant—if not ELITE—in the running game, offering plenty of volume, yardage, efficiency and scoring opportunities during the Sirianni era, finishing top 6 in rushing attempts, top 8 in rushing yards, and top 5 in rushing TDs in all three seasons
In fact, they’ve led the entire NFL in rushing TDs in 2 of the last 3 campaigns.
And despite minimal volume in the passing game—they’ve finished 21st or lower in passing attempts in all 3 seasons—they’ve been mediocre at worst in the yardage and TD departments, finishing 9th & 16th in yards and 14th & 16th in TDs in the last 2 seasons.
After going stale down the stretch in 2023—which they themselves admitted—the Eagles are welcoming their 3rd Offensive Coordinator in as many seasons, bringing in 35 year old Kellen Moore, a former NFL quarterback who already has a half-decade of Offensive Coordinator experience on his NFL resume after 4 years with the division rival Cowboys and 1 year with the Chargers.
While it’s worth noting that Moore IS coming off of his worst statistical season as an Offensive Coordinator in the NFL, his career has been mostly successful, garnering head coach interviews over the last few seasons (ironically including in 2021 with the Eagles, who ultimately went with Sirianni).
Moore’s offenses were ELITE with the Cowboys from 2019-2022, finishing 6th or better in scoring in 3 of 4 seasons—including leading the league in scoring in 2021—and 14th or better in offensive yards in all 4 seasons—including leading the league in yards in both 2019 and 2021.
And the one season that WAS a little bit bumpy? 2020 where Dak Prescott appeared in only 5 games. Yet Moore’s Andy Dalton-led Cowboys STILL finished 17th in scoring and 14th in offensive yards.
His offenses were successful in both the running and passing games, finishing:
🔥 15th or higher in rushing attempts in all 4 seasons
🔥 9th or better in rushing yards in 3 of 4 seasons
🔥 7th or better in rushing TDs in 2 of 4 seasons
🔥 10th or higher in passing attempts in 3 of 4 seasons
🔥 14th or better in passing yards in all 4 seasons—including finishing 2nd in TWO of them
🔥 9th or better in passing TDs in 3 of 4 seasons
And all of that team success showed up at the individual level as well, where:
🏈 Dak Prescott was fantasy’s QB 7 or better in the 2 full seasons he played, including finishing as fantasy’s QB 2 in 2019.
In fact Dak was averaging an absurd, MVP-caliber 27.1(!!!) fantasy points per game over 5 contests in 2020 before going down with a season-ending injury.
🏈 Ezekiel Elliott was fantasy’s RB 22 or better in all 4 seasons, including top 9 in 3 of 4 campaigns.
🏈 And in the one season Zeke did NOT finish inside the top 9 (2022), Tony Pollard finished as fantasy’s RB 8, just one year after finishing as fantasy’s RB 28 while playing clear second fiddle to Zeke.
🏈 Amari Cooper finished as fantasy’s WR 10 in 2019, WR 15 in 2020 even without Prescott, and WR 27 in his final season with the Cowboys (2021), paving the way for a CeeDee Lamb takeover.
🏈 CeeDee Lamb finished as fantasy’s WR 24 in 2020 as a rookie without Dak, WR 19 in 2021, and WR 5 in 2022.
🏈 Michael Gallup was fantasy’s WR 22 in 2019 and WR 38 in 2020.
🏈 Randall Cobb was fantasy’s WR 44 in 2019 and Cedrick Wilson was WR 45 in 2021; meaning Moore’s Cowboys supported THREE top 45 WRs AND a top 11 TE in 2 of 4 seasons as the Cowboys OC.
🏈 A 37 year old Jason Witten was fantasy’s TE 11 in 2019 before Dalton Schultz finished as fantasy’s TE 11 in 2020, TE 3 in 2021, and TE 9 in 2022
Elite. At both the team level and the individual level.
Of course, it’s not fair to just ignore 2023. And 2023 was not pretty for Kellen Moore in his only season as the Offensive Coordinator for the Chargers, finishing 21st in scoring and 18th in offensive yards, including:
🤢 24th in rushing attempts
🤢 25th in rushing yards
🤢 20th in rushing TDs
That said, it must be noted that the Chargers’ entire 2023 campaign was a total sheetshow…
Franchise QB Justin Herbert missed the last 4 games of the season.
RB 1 Austin Ekeler picked up an ankle injury in week 1, missed the next 3 games, and was never the same the rest of the season (not to mention the fact that he’s not even on the Chargers’ roster any more).
WR 2 Mike Williams didn’t make it past week 3, missing the final 14 games of the season.
Head Coach Brandon Staley was fired during the season following a pathetic 63-21 loss to Aidan O’Connell and the division rival Raiders in front of the entire country on Thursday Night Football.
It just wasn’t exactly an environment that was built for success.
And still, there’s a lot more good to Moore’s resume than bad, and we shouldn’t let 2023 erase the elite-ness of his offenses in 2019-2022.
Not that there’s any awards for “most improved Offensive Coordinator” or “comeback Offensive Coordinator of the Year,” but if there was, Kellen Moore would be a great bet to win it in 2023.
As opposed to entering a tumultuous environment where the Head Coach is already on the hot seat (like 2023 with Staley and the Chargers), Moore is entering an already successful environment with a team that’s won 74% of their games over the last 2 seasons and, oh yeah, is just one season removed from playing in the Super Bowl.
With the usual crew (Nick Sirianni, Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert) and upgrades at Offensive Coordinator (Kellen Moore) and running back (Saquon Barkley), expect the Eagles to be one of the very best offenses in the NFL this season.
They’re a team to invest in in 2024 fantasy football leagues.
BUT...
AJ Brown, Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith AND Jalen Hurts are ALL drafted within the first 38 picks of 2024 fantasy football drafts.
As elite as the Eagles' offense is, are their players worth their expensive price tags in 2024 fantasy football drafts?
Maybe. 😉
Those answers are inside BBFF's 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Guide, an unfair cheat sheet that BBFF subscribers are using to dominate their drafts and get ahead of their league-mates before the first football is even kicked in Week 1.
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